July 10, 2015

Chinese 'Dead Cat Bounce' Fades, "Hostile Sellers" Appear As Goldman Warns "Not Yet Fully Purged"

Amid the highest level Typhoon warnings, China's stock market continues to storm as only 49% of Chinese stocks are halted (down from 54%) as local analysts fear yesterday's bounce (just like last week's) was nothing but a dead cat bounce: "bounces like today prolong the timeframe to get that final bottom in place." For the 14th day in a row margin balances declined with the pace accelerating (down 10.9% yesterday alone) for a total over 36% decline so far. Seemingly on pain of death, someone is selling Chinese stocks as CSI-300 futures opened a mere 0.2% higher then sold off - no follow through for now. Goldman warned to expect another 30% decline margin balance and concludes, China "hasn't yet fully purged."

In case you're wondering why we bounced yesterday (aside from the death threats to shorts)... It was a very technical bounce off the 200DMA...

Stroms are gathering...
  • *CHINA ISSUES HIGHEST-LEVEL ALERT ON TYPHOON CHAN-HOM
As more companies limp out from nehind the curtain of invincibility...
  • *NUMBER OF CHINESE COS HALTED FROM TRADING FALLS TO 1,422
  • *A TOTAL OF 49% OF CHINESE STOCKS ARE HALTED FROM TRADING (down from 54%)
Goldman noted the suspensions of shares are "really the key issue..."
With a number of stocks suspended - we've had 32 percent of the market cap being suspended - we haven't really had a clearing of price that's fully taken place and the deleveraging which has been going on hasn't yet fully purged

That's really what we're looking for for a sign of a market bottom."
Read the entire article 

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